Annual inflation in Nigeria accelerated to 15.6 percent in
May, its highest since February 2010, as the crisis in Africa's biggest economy
deepens.
Tuesday's inflation reading was the fourth monthly increase
in a row. The National Bureau of Statistics said it reflected higher prices for
electricity, transport and food, a separate index for which rose to 14.9
percent from 13.2 percent in April.
Usually Africa's biggest crude producer, Nigeria has seen
revenues plunge with oil prices, with pressure on the naira currency helping to
fuel inflation.
Central Bank Governor Godwin Emefiele announced on May 24
that the naira's peg to the dollar would be abandoned in favour of a flexible
currency regime but has yet to give details of how the policy will work.
The bank's de facto peg of 197 naira per dollar had become
unsustainable due to a shortage of hard currency, with the naira trading at up
to 40 percent below the official rate on the black market.
Razia Khan, chief economist, Africa at Standard Chartered
bank, said the fixed FX regime "likely played a significant role in
exacerbating current price pressures" and therefore would have been
"instrumental" in prompting the policy U-turn.
"The challenge for the authorities is how to go about
normalising the FX regime, and more broadly, activity in their bid to resolve
fuel and other supply bottlenecks that have constrained growth while driving
inflation higher," she said.
Bismarck Rewane, economist and CEO of Lagos consultancy
Financial Derivatives, said the promised adoption of a new flexible exchange
rate policy was likely to "push up prices again".
"The central bank may be forced to look at interest
rates again next month," he said, suggesting that there may be a need to
tighten monetary policy after the new FX regime is in place.
The central bank's main interest rate was hiked by 100 basis
points to 12 percent in March to try to curb galloping inflation.
Nigeria's economy contracted by 0.4 percent in the first
quarter, the first such drop since the 1990s and Emefiele has said it is likely
to shrink again in the second quarter, taking Nigeria into recession.
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